The base rating was set around the player's average skill rating (67.1) and the specific Goalkeeper Rating (64.53), which are key indicators for a GK. Primary adjustments reflect the discrepancy between the base and the core GK skill, as well as the team's poor win rate in the division. A secondary adjustment accounts for the negative market value trend. The total adjustments (-4) bring the rating down from the base of 67 to a calculated rating of 63. This rating falls within the 2nd Division range (60-80). Confidence is set to Medium due to the limited match data (20 matches) and the significant difference between the calculated rating (63) and the player's current listed rating [74], suggesting potential factors not fully captured or a possible overestimation in the current rating. A 3-point range (62-64) is used for Medium confidence, centered around the calculated 63.
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The core Goalkeeper Rating (64.53) is significantly lower than the initial base rating consideration, warranting a downward adjustment.
The team's low recent win rate (30%) in the 2nd Division suggests performance issues that impact the player's rating, despite the high goals against being handled separately by the system.
A moderately decreasing market value trend indicates a negative perception or performance trajectory.
Adjustment based on recent match activity
Adjustment based on win rate compared to average
Adjustment based on goals conceded per match