The base rating of 75 is chosen as a starting point, acknowledging the player's current [80] rating and their team's status as High tier in the 2nd Division (range 60-80). However, the provided individual skill ratings (average 56.00, and particularly low Attack/Midfield) are significantly below what would be expected for an 80-rated player or even a 75-rated player. This discrepancy, combined with limited career experience (25 matches), leads to substantial negative adjustments (-10 for skill ratings, -3 for experience, -1 for lack of international play). These are partially offset by the positive adjustments from a significantly increasing market value trend (+3 and +2). The total adjustment is -7 (75 - 10 + 2 - 3 - 1 + 3 + 2 = 68). Given the limited match data (20 analyzed) and the large difference between the current [80] rating and the calculated rating based on metrics, confidence is set to Medium, resulting in a 3-point range centered around the calculated 68, yielding a final rating range of 67-69.
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The player's average individual skill ratings (Defense 55.23, Midfield 47.30, Attack 1.15, Overall Average 56.00) are significantly lower than expected for a player with a base rating of 75, particularly the Attack rating. While the relative order (Def > Mid > Att) aligns with a defensive position, the absolute values pull the rating down.
Playing for a High tier team in the 2nd Division supports a rating towards the upper end of the 60-80 range. The 45% win rate is moderate, and Goals Against is high, but the team's status provides a slight positive adjustment.
With only 25 career matches and analysis based on the last 20, the player has limited senior experience, impacting consistency and overall rating potential at this stage.
Lack of international experience results in a minor negative adjustment.
A 'Significantly Increasing' market value trend indicates strong potential and positive perception, leading to a positive adjustment.
Further positive adjustment based on the strong upward trend in market value, suggesting positive development and future potential.
Adjustment based on total career matches played
Adjustment based on recent match activity
Adjustment based on win rate compared to average
Adjustment based on goals conceded per match
Adjustment based on special cards earned across seasons